Monday, October 1, 2012

Obama, Romney deadlocked in North Carolina

The day before Vice President Joe Biden campaigns in Charlotte and Asheville and two days before what could be a crucial debate, a new poll shows Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are dead even in North Carolina, 48 percent to 48 percent.

The poll from Public Policy Polling shows Romney with a 54-36 lead among independents, a lead he'll likely need to maintain to win the state. PPP says that in 26 polls dating back to November 2010, Obama and Romney have been within three points of each other 25 times. This poll was conducted Sept. 27 to Sept. 30.

Another pollster, Rasmussen Reports, has consistently had Romney with a small but certain lead in North Carolina. A Rasmussen poll from Sept. 13 had Romney up 51-45. But the RealClearPolitics average of polls over the past month puts Obama up 48-47.

A loss in North Carolina would be devastating to Romney's hopes. Fewer than 10 states are truly in play, and Romney needs most of them to win, current polls suggest.

The PPP poll suggests there are very few undecided voters and the outcome will hinge on which side is more motivated. Obama needs black voters and young voters to turn out the way they did in 2008. Romney needs independents to turn out and break his way. The PPP poll found that 69 percent of Democrats say they are "very excited" about voting, compared with 58 percent of Republicans. Slightly more people disapprove than approve of both Obama and Romney, the poll showed.

UPDATE: Another poll out today shows Romney with a slight edge, 50-46. The poll by American Research Group was conducted with 600 likely voters Friday through Sunday. Its sampling error was plus or minus four percentage points.

-- Taylor Batten


Lateralus said...

aaaaand cue right wing nut balls saying its all one big conspiracy, and Romney is secretly dominating the race, we just haven't see one poll with him consistantly ahead, ever. Not even with Faux News. But here below you will see them stick their fingers in their ears and deny deny deny...Like they expected a bounce from the worst month a candidate has ever had along with an inept campaign team....and GO

Skippy said...

Poster number one, let me add sheer genius that you are, Rasmussen was the number one most accurate and has Romeny up by 6 and the LIBERAL PPP has President Coward down amongst 18 with the independents.. If you can't so the math, then good for you.

Of course the liberal leaning PPP has this one tied, but notice what Taylor and the band of sycophants left our, the actual polling date, but why bother you brilliant liberal voters and of course the landslide election back in 2010 never happened as did the cover up in Libya, skyrocketing gas prices, unemployment stuck dead in the water, a abysmal GDP, records on food stamps, records in poverty and a devastating new Fast and Furious report done on Telemundo last night that connected Fast and Furious weaponry at a massacre if 16 dead Mexican teenagers that this coward newspaper will never report.

Meanwhile don't bother growing up, that would require some cognitive skills.

Observer editorial board said...

You're right, I should have included the polling date. I have now added it to the post. The survey was conducted Sept. 27 to Sept. 30.

Taylor Batten

Lateralus said...

Skippy, let me help with the reading abilities you clearly lack. Feel free to check up todays "Rasmussen polls" which you conservatives cling onto for dear life. You are also aware of the electoral college right? Or is every single poll which shows Obama ahead in every swing state, simply biased and making stuff up as well? You seem awfully angry and desperate. You clearly lack the ability to look and talk about politics in an objective manner. Hope your fingers dont get stuck in your ears. Here is some reading material for you

Garth Vader said...

Ah Batten,

Still ignoring Gary Johnson
Still deleting posts that call you out on it
Still going to Hell

scott menzel said...

Romney will win NC by a landslide