More than 100,000 voters will head tonight to 1,774 precincts across Iowa and make their case to fellow caucus-goers about who should be the Republican nominee for president. Everyone then votes, and the results are called in to party headquarters and the media, which will declare their own winners and losers.
Who will be that winner tonight?
The latest polls say those winners will come from a top tier of candidates: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and the surging Rick Santorum.
The New York Times offers 5 things to watch, including the evangelical vote, Ron Paul's fade and Mitt Romney's margin. Romney doesn't have to win, Michael Shear says. A second-place finish - or even third - will be enough.
Politico says third will be disappointing for Romney. He needs a second-place finish - and 28 percent of the vote - or pundits will start the no-passion-for-Mitt talk again.
American Spectator says Romney will win, followed by Paul and Santorum.
Expect a Romney win, with Santorum surging into second and, for now, claiming status as the conservative alternative heading into New Hampshire and, more importantly, South Carolina, which will offer non-Mitts their possible last stand.
Peter St. Onge